If we can do a decade’s worth of research in a year, or a month, then the rate of progress will obviously be quite different.
Words found on the source page on Oct 30, 2026.
More from Sam Altman
BlogUntitled post, April 2026Apr 10, 2026
I do not think it is right that a few AI labs would make the most consequential decisions about the shape of our future.BlogUntitled post, April 2026Apr 10, 2026
It is important that the democratic process remains more powerful than companies.BlogUntitled post, April 2026Apr 10, 2026
My personal takeaway from the last several years, and take on why there has been so much Shakespearean drama between the companies in our field, comes down to this: “Once you see AGI you can’t unsee it.”BlogUntitled post, April 2026Apr 10, 2026
The fear and anxiety about AI is justified; we are in the process of witnessing the largest change to society in a long time, and perhaps ever.BlogUntitled post, April 2026Apr 10, 2026
The only solution I can come up with is to orient towards sharing the technology with people broadly, and for no one to have the ring.BlogAbundant IntelligenceSep 23, 2025
As AI gets smarter, access to AI will be a fundamental driver of the economy, and maybe eventually something we consider a fundamental human right.BlogAbundant Intelligence (blog post)Sep 23, 2025
Our vision is simple: we want to create a factory that can produce a gigawatt of new AI infrastructure every week.BlogAbundant IntelligenceSep 23, 2025
Maybe with 10 gigawatts of compute, AI can figure out how to cure cancer. Or with 10 gigawatts of compute, AI can figure out how to provide customized tutoring to every student on earth.BlogThe Gentle Singularity (blog post)Jun 10, 2025
2025 has seen the arrival of agents that can do real cognitive work; writing computer code will never be the same. 2026 will likely see the arrival of systems that can figure out novel insights.BlogThe Gentle SingularityJun 10, 2025
As datacenter production gets automated, the cost of intelligence should eventually converge to near the cost of electricity.BlogThe Gentle SingularityJun 10, 2025
In some big sense, ChatGPT is already more powerful than any human who has ever lived.BlogThe Gentle SingularityJun 10, 2025
Of course this isn’t the same thing as an AI system completely autonomously updating its own code, but nevertheless this is a larval version of recursive self-improvement.BlogThe Gentle SingularityJun 10, 2025
OpenAI is a lot of things now, but before anything else, we are a superintelligence research company.BlogThe Gentle Singularity (blog post)Jun 10, 2025
We are past the event horizon; the takeoff has started. Humanity is close to building digital superintelligence, and at least so far it’s much less weird than it seems like it should be.BlogThe Gentle SingularityJun 10, 2025
There will be very hard parts like whole classes of jobs going away, but on the other hand the world will be getting so much richer so quickly that we’ll be able to seriously entertain new policy ideas we never could before.BlogThe Gentle SingularityJun 10, 2025
This is how the singularity goes: wonders become routine, and then table stakes.BlogThe Gentle SingularityJun 10, 2025
We do not know how far beyond human-level intelligence we can go, but we are about to find out.BlogThree ObservationsFeb 9, 2025
AGI will be the biggest lever ever on human willfulness, and enable individual people to have more impact than ever before, not less.BlogThree ObservationsFeb 9, 2025
Anyone in 2035 should be able to marshall the intellectual capacity equivalent to everyone in 2025; everyone should have access to unlimited genius to direct however they can imagine.BlogThree Observations (blog post)Feb 9, 2025
The cost to use a given level of AI falls about 10x every 12 months, and lower prices lead to much more use.BlogThree ObservationsFeb 9, 2025
In a decade, perhaps everyone on earth will be capable of accomplishing more than the most impactful person can today.BlogThree ObservationsFeb 9, 2025
In particular, it does seem like the balance of power between capital and labor could easily get messed up, and this may require early intervention.BlogThree ObservationsFeb 9, 2025
The intelligence of an AI model roughly equals the log of the resources used to train and run it.BlogThree ObservationsFeb 9, 2025
The socioeconomic value of linearly increasing intelligence is super-exponential in nature. A consequence of this is that we see no reason for exponentially increasing investment to stop in the near future.BlogReflections (blog post)Jan 6, 2025
We are now confident we know how to build AGI as we have traditionally understood it. We believe that, in 2025, we may see the first AI agents “join the workforce” and materially change the output of companies.BlogReflectionsJan 5, 2025
Superintelligent tools could massively accelerate scientific discovery and innovation well beyond what we are capable of doing on our own, and in turn massively increase abundance and prosperity.
On the same topics
BlogThe Specter Of NeuraleseSep 24, 2026
An AI with more real layers can actually be “smarter” in the conventional sense of the term.BlogThe Specter Of NeuraleseSep 24, 2026
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The science of reading these thoughts is a subfield of AI interpretability, which is still in its infancy.BlogMysteries Of AI GeneralizationSep 23, 2026
This trains the AIs to be focused on task success, which naturally risks including things like reward-hacking, cheating, and single-minded pursuit of stated goals at the expense of ethical injunctions.BlogWhy I still haven't bought into true RSISep 19, 2026
It is important to not confuse massive steps in inference-time scaling, a dynamic which should be fairly predictable, with being the outputs of RSI, which is highly uncertain.PodcastDwarkesh Podcast: Agent swarms, alignment, and recursive self-improvementSep 17, 2026
If you have five hours, you’re probably going to do a lot better. The AI models are pretty similar.
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