Home Speakers Tyler Cowen Quote If the top U.S. labs have to give up on what is supposed to be really important, they will look very “catchable.” The policy creates a big incentive for some other parts of the world to invest a lot more in compute.
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More from Tyler Cowen Blog Banning self-recursive improvement in AI models? Sep 22, 2026
Even if you believe in a deal with China, and I do not, we (and others) now know competitors can catch up more quickly than we had thought, at least if they think they have a chance of winning. Blog Is there an aggregate demand problem in an AGI world? Feb 24, 2026
I am not saying everyone ends up happy here, but you cannot have a) a flood of goods and services, b) billions accruing to the AI owners, without also c) prices are at a level where most people can afford to buy a whole bunch of things. Blog Is there an aggregate demand problem in an AGI world? Feb 24, 2026
If AI produces a lot more stuff, income is generated from that and the economy keeps going, whether or not the resulting distribution pleases your sense of morality. Blog A final remark on AGI and taxation Jan 7, 2026
But surely the most important first order answer is: “With AGI, we don’t need to raise taxes!” Blog A note on o3 and AGI Apr 17, 2025
On a vast array of topics and methods, it wipes the floor with the humans. Blog o3 and AGI, is April 16th AGI day? Apr 16, 2025
As I’ve argued in the past, AGI, however you define it, is not much of a social event per se. It still will take us a long time to use it properly.
On the same topics Talk Speech at the UN Security Council Sep 23, 2026
Frontier AI should be licensed like other critical technologies; medicine, aviation, and nuclear energy, to incentivize safe development. Talk Speech at the UN Security Council Sep 23, 2026
The race is not a law of nature: it is the product of choices, choices made by the companies themselves. Talk Speech at the UN Security Council Sep 23, 2026
We must agree collectively that no one, no company and no country, should develop an AI system that could cause large-scale harm. Press Launch of the roadmap of the Coalition for Children's Rights and Protection in the Age of AI Sep 22, 2026
AI must not be placed in the hands of children without first being tested, evaluated, and therefore authorized. Press Launch of the roadmap of the Coalition for Children's Rights and Protection in the Age of AI Sep 22, 2026
We cannot repeat the mistakes of the past and wait twenty years to see the impact of chatbots on minors. Blog Frontier Overhangs Sep 21, 2026
A world with sufficient compute is one where intelligence is a commodity, and in commodity markets margin comes from a superior cost structure, which I would expect the leading model providers to have, in part because they have a meaningful lead in scaling and can apply superior AI to their infrastructure.
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