Home Speakers Tyler Cowen Quote As I’ve argued in the past, AGI, however you define it, is not much of a social event per se. It still will take us a long time to use it properly.
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More from Tyler Cowen Blog Banning self-recursive improvement in AI models? Sep 22, 2026
Even if you believe in a deal with China, and I do not, we (and others) now know competitors can catch up more quickly than we had thought, at least if they think they have a chance of winning. Blog Banning self-recursive improvement in AI models? Sep 22, 2026
If the top U.S. labs have to give up on what is supposed to be really important, they will look very “catchable.” The policy creates a big incentive for some other parts of the world to invest a lot more in compute. Blog Is there an aggregate demand problem in an AGI world? Feb 24, 2026
I am not saying everyone ends up happy here, but you cannot have a) a flood of goods and services, b) billions accruing to the AI owners, without also c) prices are at a level where most people can afford to buy a whole bunch of things. Blog Is there an aggregate demand problem in an AGI world? Feb 24, 2026
If AI produces a lot more stuff, income is generated from that and the economy keeps going, whether or not the resulting distribution pleases your sense of morality. Blog A final remark on AGI and taxation Jan 7, 2026
But surely the most important first order answer is: “With AGI, we don’t need to raise taxes!” Blog A note on o3 and AGI Apr 17, 2025
On a vast array of topics and methods, it wipes the floor with the humans.
On the same topics Podcast Dwarkesh Podcast: Agent swarms, alignment, and recursive self-improvement Sep 17, 2026
And actually the models today are far beyond what was possible even six months ago. Talk Import AI 458 / 2026 Cosmos HAI Lab Lecture, Oxford May 26, 2026
It’s time to plan for this, because AI systems are likely to get better a lot faster than people expect, and as they become more advanced we should expect profound changes to happen to people and to society. Talk Import AI 458 / 2026 Cosmos HAI Lab Lecture, Oxford May 26, 2026
When I look at the graph, I feel a sense of vertigo, because I know a little bit about what underlies this graph. Blog Untitled post, April 2026 Apr 10, 2026
My personal takeaway from the last several years, and take on why there has been so much Shakespearean drama between the companies in our field, comes down to this: “Once you see AGI you can’t unsee it.” Blog Untitled post, April 2026 Apr 10, 2026
The only solution I can come up with is to orient towards sharing the technology with people broadly, and for no one to have the ring. Interview Big Technology Podcast: Doubling Down on Text Models, The Superapp Plan, Codex's Potential Apr 7, 2026
And at this point we have line of sight to much better models that are coming this year, and the amount of pain within OpenAI that we’ve had to decide how to allocate compute goes up, not down, over time.
Changes Source check Oct 16, 2026
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