And so, yeah, I think there's a 50% chance that we have AGI by 2028.
Words found on the source page on Nov 6, 2026.
More from Shane Legg
PodcastDwarkesh Podcast: 2028 AGI, superhuman alignment, new architecturesOct 26, 2023
I think we can start training models now with the scale of the data that is beyond what a human can experience in a lifetime. So I think this is the first unlocking step.PodcastDwarkesh Podcast: 2028 AGI, superhuman alignment, new architecturesOct 26, 2023
I'm sure what's going to happen is we’re going to get to 2029 and someone's going to say, “Shane, you were wrong.”PodcastDwarkesh Podcast: 2028 AGI, superhuman alignment, new architecturesOct 26, 2023
The way I think about it is this: to have a profoundly ethical AI system, it also has to be very, very capable.PodcastDwarkesh Podcast: 2028 AGI, superhuman alignment, new architecturesOct 26, 2023
When I say AGI, I mean a machine that can do the sorts of cognitive things that people can typically do, possibly more.
On the same topics
PodcastDwarkesh Podcast: Agent swarms, alignment, and recursive self-improvementSep 17, 2026
And actually the models today are far beyond what was possible even six months ago.TalkImport AI 458 / 2026 Cosmos HAI Lab Lecture, OxfordMay 26, 2026
It’s time to plan for this, because AI systems are likely to get better a lot faster than people expect, and as they become more advanced we should expect profound changes to happen to people and to society.TalkImport AI 458 / 2026 Cosmos HAI Lab Lecture, OxfordMay 26, 2026
When I look at the graph, I feel a sense of vertigo, because I know a little bit about what underlies this graph.BlogUntitled post, April 2026Apr 10, 2026
My personal takeaway from the last several years, and take on why there has been so much Shakespearean drama between the companies in our field, comes down to this: “Once you see AGI you can’t unsee it.”BlogUntitled post, April 2026Apr 10, 2026
The only solution I can come up with is to orient towards sharing the technology with people broadly, and for no one to have the ring.InterviewBig Technology Podcast: Doubling Down on Text Models, The Superapp Plan, Codex's PotentialApr 7, 2026
And at this point we have line of sight to much better models that are coming this year, and the amount of pain within OpenAI that we’ve had to decide how to allocate compute goes up, not down, over time.
About this quote
- Said by
- Shane Legg, Chief AGI Scientist, Google DeepMind
- Where
- Dwarkesh Podcast: 2028 AGI, superhuman alignment, new architectures
- Topics
- AGI
- Company
DeepMind- Source
- dwarkesh.com/p/shane-legg
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