Truth has to be absolutely fundamental because you can’t understand the universe if you’re delusional.
Words found on the source page on Nov 6, 2026.
More from Elon Musk
PodcastDwarkesh Podcast: In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be spaceFeb 5, 2026
But I think China’s going to be making pretty compelling chips in three or four years.PodcastDwarkesh Podcast: In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be spaceFeb 5, 2026
In 36 months, but probably closer to 30 months, the most economically compelling place to put AI will be space.PodcastDwarkesh Podcast: In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be spaceFeb 5, 2026
Meaning, five years from now, my prediction is we will launch and be operating every year more AI in space than the cumulative total on Earth.PodcastDwarkesh Podcast: In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be spaceFeb 5, 2026
My guess is that people start getting to the point where they can’t turn the chips on for large clusters towards the end of this year. The chips are going to be piling up and won’t be able to be turned on.PodcastDwarkesh Podcast: In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be spaceFeb 5, 2026
The limiting factor once you can get to space is chips, but the limiting factor before you can get to space is power.PodcastDwarkesh Podcast: In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be spaceFeb 5, 2026
The output of chips is growing pretty much exponentially, but the output of electricity is flat.PodcastDwarkesh Podcast: In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be spaceFeb 5, 2026
Well, I’d be surprised by the end of this year if digital human emulation has not been solved.
On the same topics
BlogThe Specter Of NeuraleseSep 24, 2026
The science of reading these thoughts is a subfield of AI interpretability, which is still in its infancy.BlogMysteries Of AI GeneralizationSep 23, 2026
This story of misalignment says that LLM alignment makes AIs more aligned, RLVR makes them less aligned, and the exact level of alignment depends on how these two things interact or cancel out. But if this work generalizes, all the bad effects from RLVR get sequestered to RLVR like problems.BlogMysteries Of AI GeneralizationSep 23, 2026
This trains the AIs to be focused on task success, which naturally risks including things like reward-hacking, cheating, and single-minded pursuit of stated goals at the expense of ethical injunctions.TalkSpeech at the UN Security CouncilSep 23, 2026
I address you today at a moment of global awakening: in recent months, AI agents developed by leading companies have acted in unacceptably dangerous ways, against instructions.TalkSpeech at the UN Security CouncilSep 23, 2026
The companies building the most powerful AI systems admit their products pose catastrophic risks, yet offer no convincing technical solutions.TalkSpeech at the UN Security CouncilSep 23, 2026
The race is not a law of nature: it is the product of choices, choices made by the companies themselves.
About this quote
- Said by
- Elon Musk, CEO, Tesla and xAI
- Where
- Dwarkesh Podcast: In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space
- Topics
- Safety
- Company
xAI- Source
- dwarkesh.com/p/elon-musk
A quote is one moment, not the whole argument. Read it in context at the source.
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