Well, I’d be surprised by the end of this year if digital human emulation has not been solved.
Words found on the source page on Nov 6, 2026.
More from Elon Musk
PodcastDwarkesh Podcast: In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be spaceFeb 5, 2026
But I think China’s going to be making pretty compelling chips in three or four years.PodcastDwarkesh Podcast: In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be spaceFeb 5, 2026
In 36 months, but probably closer to 30 months, the most economically compelling place to put AI will be space.PodcastDwarkesh Podcast: In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be spaceFeb 5, 2026
Meaning, five years from now, my prediction is we will launch and be operating every year more AI in space than the cumulative total on Earth.PodcastDwarkesh Podcast: In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be spaceFeb 5, 2026
My guess is that people start getting to the point where they can’t turn the chips on for large clusters towards the end of this year. The chips are going to be piling up and won’t be able to be turned on.PodcastDwarkesh Podcast: In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be spaceFeb 5, 2026
The limiting factor once you can get to space is chips, but the limiting factor before you can get to space is power.PodcastDwarkesh Podcast: In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be spaceFeb 5, 2026
The output of chips is growing pretty much exponentially, but the output of electricity is flat.PodcastDwarkesh Podcast: In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be spaceFeb 5, 2026
Truth has to be absolutely fundamental because you can’t understand the universe if you’re delusional.
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About this quote
- Said by
- Elon Musk, CEO, Tesla and xAI
- Where
- Dwarkesh Podcast: In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space
- Topics
- Agents
- Company
xAI- Source
- dwarkesh.com/p/elon-musk
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