Quotesby GlyphTyler Cowen quote, Apr 17, 2025
Economist, George Mason University · Apr 17, 2025 1 year ago · Blog, A note on o3 and AGI
On a vast array of topics and methods, it wipes the floor with the humans.
Words found on the source page on Oct 23, 2026.
More from Tyler Cowen
- Even if you believe in a deal with China, and I do not, we (and others) now know competitors can catch up more quickly than we had thought, at least if they think they have a chance of winning.
- If the top U.S. labs have to give up on what is supposed to be really important, they will look very “catchable.” The policy creates a big incentive for some other parts of the world to invest a lot more in compute.
- I am not saying everyone ends up happy here, but you cannot have a) a flood of goods and services, b) billions accruing to the AI owners, without also c) prices are at a level where most people can afford to buy a whole bunch of things.
- If AI produces a lot more stuff, income is generated from that and the economy keeps going, whether or not the resulting distribution pleases your sense of morality.
- But surely the most important first order answer is: “With AGI, we don’t need to raise taxes!”
- As I’ve argued in the past, AGI, however you define it, is not much of a social event per se. It still will take us a long time to use it properly.
On the same topics
- And actually the models today are far beyond what was possible even six months ago.
- It’s time to plan for this, because AI systems are likely to get better a lot faster than people expect, and as they become more advanced we should expect profound changes to happen to people and to society.
- When I look at the graph, I feel a sense of vertigo, because I know a little bit about what underlies this graph.
- My personal takeaway from the last several years, and take on why there has been so much Shakespearean drama between the companies in our field, comes down to this: “Once you see AGI you can’t unsee it.”
- The only solution I can come up with is to orient towards sharing the technology with people broadly, and for no one to have the ring.
- And at this point we have line of sight to much better models that are coming this year, and the amount of pain within OpenAI that we’ve had to decide how to allocate compute goes up, not down, over time.
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About this quote
- Said by
- Tyler Cowen, Economist, George Mason University
- Where
- A note on o3 and AGI
- Topics
- AGI
- Company
George Mason University
- Source
- marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2025/04/a-note-on-o3-and-agi.html
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