LLMs are emerging as a new kind of intelligence, simultaneously a lot smarter than I expected and a lot dumber than I expected.
Words found on the source page on Nov 6, 2026.
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Software 1.0 easily automates what you can specify. Software 2.0 easily automates what you can verify.BlogVerifiabilityNov 17, 2025
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I do, but it’s business as usual because we’re in an intelligence explosion already and have been for decades.PodcastDwarkesh Podcast: AGI is still a decade awayOct 17, 2025
If you talk to a billion parameter model, I think in 20 years, you can have a very productive conversation.PodcastDwarkesh Podcast: AGI is still a decade awayOct 17, 2025
In my mind, education is the very difficult technical process of building ramps to knowledge.PodcastDwarkesh Podcast: AGI is still a decade awayOct 17, 2025
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What takes the long amount of time and the way to think about it is that it’s a march of nines.BlogPower to the people: How LLMs flip the script on technology diffusionApr 7, 2025
As far as I can tell, the average person has never experienced a technological unlock this dramatic, this fast.BlogPower to the people: How LLMs flip the script on technology diffusionApr 7, 2025
Mary, Jim and Joes are experiencing the majority of the benefit, not Google or the government of the United States.BlogPower to the people: How LLMs flip the script on technology diffusionApr 7, 2025
So it strikes me as quite unique and remarkable that LLMs display a dramatic reversal of this pattern - they generate disproportionate benefit for regular people, while their impact is a lot more muted and lagging in corporations and governments.
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The only solution I can come up with is to orient towards sharing the technology with people broadly, and for no one to have the ring.InterviewBig Technology Podcast: Doubling Down on Text Models, The Superapp Plan, Codex's PotentialApr 7, 2026
And at this point we have line of sight to much better models that are coming this year, and the amount of pain within OpenAI that we’ve had to decide how to allocate compute goes up, not down, over time.
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