Situational Awareness leaders on AI, quotes with sources

10 quotes from Leopold Aschenbrenner

10 of 10 quotes, newest first

Date	Quote	Context	Source
Jun 4, 2024	But right now, there are perhaps a few hundred people, most of them in San Francisco and the AI labs, that have situational awareness. Through whatever peculiar forces of fate, I have found myself amongst them.Leopold AschenbrennerJun 4, 2024· Essay	EssaySituational Awareness: The Decade Ahead	Source
Jun 4, 2024	By 28/29 the intelligence explosion will be underway; by 2030, we will have summoned superintelligence, in all its power and might.Leopold AschenbrennerJun 4, 2024· Essay	EssaySituational Awareness IV: The Project	Source
Jun 4, 2024	By the early 2030s, the entirety of the US arsenal (like it or not, the bedrock of global peace and security) will probably be obsolete.Leopold AschenbrennerJun 4, 2024· Essay	EssaySituational Awareness IV: The Project	Source
Jun 4, 2024	Do we really want the infrastructure for the Manhattan Project to be controlled by some capricious Middle Eastern dictatorship?Leopold AschenbrennerJun 4, 2024· Essay	EssaySituational Awareness IIIa: Racing to the Trillion-Dollar Cluster	Source
Jun 4, 2024	Hundreds of millions of AGIs could automate AI research, compressing a decade of algorithmic progress (5+ OOMs) into ≤1 year.Leopold AschenbrennerJun 4, 2024· Essay	EssaySituational Awareness: The Decade Ahead	Source
Jun 4, 2024	I make the following claim: it is strikingly plausible that by 2027, models will be able to do the work of an AI researcher/engineer.Leopold AschenbrennerJun 4, 2024· Essay	EssaySituational Awareness I: From GPT-4 to AGI	Source
Jun 4, 2024	Over the past year, the talk of the town has shifted from $10 billion compute clusters to $100 billion clusters to trillion-dollar clusters.Leopold AschenbrennerJun 4, 2024· Essay	EssaySituational Awareness: The Decade Ahead	Source
Jun 4, 2024	The trillion-dollar, 100GW cluster alone would require ~20% of current US electricity generation in 6 years; together with large inference capacity, demand will be multiples higher.Leopold AschenbrennerJun 4, 2024· Essay	EssaySituational Awareness IIIa: Racing to the Trillion-Dollar Cluster	Source
Jun 4, 2024	Ultimately, my main claim here is descriptive: whether we like it or not, superintelligence won’t look like an SF startup, and in some way will be primarily in the domain of national security.Leopold AschenbrennerJun 4, 2024· Essay	EssaySituational Awareness IV: The Project	Source
Jun 4, 2024	White-collar workers are paid tens of trillions of dollars in wages annually worldwide; a drop-in remote worker that automates even a fraction of white-collar/cognitive jobs (imagine, say, a truly automated AI coder) would pay for the trillion-dollar cluster.Leopold AschenbrennerJun 4, 2024· Essay	EssaySituational Awareness IIIa: Racing to the Trillion-Dollar Cluster	Source

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