Leopold Aschenbrenner quotes on AI, with sources

Founder, Situational Awareness LP · 10 quotes · latest Jun 4, 2024

Quotes

10 of 10 quotes, newest first

Date	Quote	Context	Source
Jun 4, 2024	But right now, there are perhaps a few hundred people, most of them in San Francisco and the AI labs, that have situational awareness. Through whatever peculiar forces of fate, I have found myself amongst them.Jun 4, 2024· Essay	EssaySituational Awareness: The Decade Ahead	Source
Jun 4, 2024	By 28/29 the intelligence explosion will be underway; by 2030, we will have summoned superintelligence, in all its power and might.Jun 4, 2024· Essay	EssaySituational Awareness IV: The Project	Source
Jun 4, 2024	By the early 2030s, the entirety of the US arsenal (like it or not, the bedrock of global peace and security) will probably be obsolete.Jun 4, 2024· Essay	EssaySituational Awareness IV: The Project	Source
Jun 4, 2024	Do we really want the infrastructure for the Manhattan Project to be controlled by some capricious Middle Eastern dictatorship?Jun 4, 2024· Essay	EssaySituational Awareness IIIa: Racing to the Trillion-Dollar Cluster	Source
Jun 4, 2024	Hundreds of millions of AGIs could automate AI research, compressing a decade of algorithmic progress (5+ OOMs) into ≤1 year.Jun 4, 2024· Essay	EssaySituational Awareness: The Decade Ahead	Source
Jun 4, 2024	I make the following claim: it is strikingly plausible that by 2027, models will be able to do the work of an AI researcher/engineer.Jun 4, 2024· Essay	EssaySituational Awareness I: From GPT-4 to AGI	Source
Jun 4, 2024	Over the past year, the talk of the town has shifted from $10 billion compute clusters to $100 billion clusters to trillion-dollar clusters.Jun 4, 2024· Essay	EssaySituational Awareness: The Decade Ahead	Source
Jun 4, 2024	The trillion-dollar, 100GW cluster alone would require ~20% of current US electricity generation in 6 years; together with large inference capacity, demand will be multiples higher.Jun 4, 2024· Essay	EssaySituational Awareness IIIa: Racing to the Trillion-Dollar Cluster	Source
Jun 4, 2024	Ultimately, my main claim here is descriptive: whether we like it or not, superintelligence won’t look like an SF startup, and in some way will be primarily in the domain of national security.Jun 4, 2024· Essay	EssaySituational Awareness IV: The Project	Source
Jun 4, 2024	White-collar workers are paid tens of trillions of dollars in wages annually worldwide; a drop-in remote worker that automates even a fraction of white-collar/cognitive jobs (imagine, say, a truly automated AI coder) would pay for the trillion-dollar cluster.Jun 4, 2024· Essay	EssaySituational Awareness IIIa: Racing to the Trillion-Dollar Cluster	Source

About Leopold Aschenbrenner

Founder, Situational Awareness LP. Listed here for public statements only; no personal details. Initials instead of a photo.

Topics: AGI, Superintelligence, Regulation, Compute, Research, Investment

Everyone quoted from Situational Awareness

Sources: the primary source linked on each quote, checked weekly. A quote is one moment; read the source. Logos via logo.dev; trademarks belong to their owners.

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