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Daniel Kokotajlo quote, Apr 3, 2025

Executive Director, AI Futures Project · Apr 3, 2025 · Interview, Dwarkesh Podcast: AI 2027 with Scott Alexander and Daniel Kokotajlo

I feel like we can’t just unilaterally slow down and have China go take the lead.

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Words found on the source page on Sep 25, 2026.

More from Daniel Kokotajlo

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But I think that I’ve now become somewhat disillusioned and think that even if we do have a three-month lead, a six-month lead, between the leading US project and any serious competitor, it’s not at all foregone conclusion that they will burn that lead for good purposes, either for safety or for constitutional power stuff.Apr 3, 2025· Interview
So the crucial turning point is mid-2027, when they’ve basically fully automated the AI R&D process and they’ve got this corporation within a corporation, the army of geniuses that are autonomously doing all this research and they’re continually being trained to improve their skills, blah, blah, blah.Apr 3, 2025· Interview
Trying to predict how superhuman AI in 2027 would go is like trying to predict how World War 3 in 2027 would go, except that it’s an even larger departure from past case studies.Apr 3, 2025· Essay
We predict that the impact of superhuman AI over the next decade will be enormous, exceeding that of the Industrial Revolution.Apr 3, 2025· Essay

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The science of reading these thoughts is a subfield of AI interpretability, which is still in its infancy.Scott AlexanderSep 24, 2026· Post
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This trains the AIs to be focused on task success, which naturally risks including things like reward-hacking, cheating, and single-minded pursuit of stated goals at the expense of ethical injunctions.Scott AlexanderSep 23, 2026· Post
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About this quote
Said by
Daniel Kokotajlo, Executive Director, AI Futures Project
Where
Dwarkesh Podcast: AI 2027 with Scott Alexander and Daniel Kokotajlo
Topics
Safety, Regulation
Company
AI Futures Project
Source
dwarkesh.com/p/scott-daniel

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