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AI Futures Project leaders on AI, quotes with sources

5 quotes from Daniel Kokotajlo

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But I think that I’ve now become somewhat disillusioned and think that even if we do have a three-month lead, a six-month lead, between the leading US project and any serious competitor, it’s not at all foregone conclusion that they will burn that lead for good purposes, either for safety or for constitutional power stuff.Daniel KokotajloApr 3, 2025· Interview
I feel like we can’t just unilaterally slow down and have China go take the lead.Daniel KokotajloApr 3, 2025· Interview
So the crucial turning point is mid-2027, when they’ve basically fully automated the AI R&D process and they’ve got this corporation within a corporation, the army of geniuses that are autonomously doing all this research and they’re continually being trained to improve their skills, blah, blah, blah.Daniel KokotajloApr 3, 2025· Interview
Trying to predict how superhuman AI in 2027 would go is like trying to predict how World War 3 in 2027 would go, except that it’s an even larger departure from past case studies.Daniel KokotajloApr 3, 2025· Essay
We predict that the impact of superhuman AI over the next decade will be enormous, exceeding that of the Industrial Revolution.Daniel KokotajloApr 3, 2025· Essay
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